Fed says long-term inflation goal is 2%

By Steve Goldstein

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The Federal Open Market Committee said Wednesday that the long-term inflation goal is 2%, as measured by the annual change in the price index for personal consumption expenditures. That's the most explicit the Fed has been in terms of setting an inflation target. Eleven of the 17 Federal Open Market Committee participants believe a rate hike would not be appropriate before 2014, according to the first-ever rate forecasts published Wednesday. Three members want the first hike by this year, three want them in 2013, five want them in 2014, four more in 2015, and two in 2016. The Fed also forecasts GDP growth between 2.2% and 2.7% this year, an unemployment rate between 8.2% and 8.5% and PCE inflation between 1.4% and 1.8%; the growth forecast is down from November levels, as are the jobless and inflation views. The Fed sees longer-term rates reaching between 4% and 4.5%.